Economy
Wall Street braces for divergent outcomes in Brazil's election
Investors are positioning for sharply different market reactions depending on whether Lula or Bolsonaro prevails in Brazil's first-round presidential vote on Sunday.
Major Wall Street firms have issued starkly different predictions for how markets would respond to each candidate's potential win, reflecting the high stakes of the election for Brazilian assets.
For beginners Political outcomes shape an economy's policy direction, so when candidates with different economic programs run close, investors adjust portfolios for a wider range of possible scenarios, raising market volatility around the vote.